Stop Watching the Economy.
Measure It.
The only dashboard that compresses 15 Fed and market indicators into a single, transparent Recession Risk Score—in under 5 minutes a day.
No opinions. No gurus. Just the data.
$60 $29/mo 50% OFF•Cancel anytime
We Don't "Predict" the Future. We Calculate the Present.
Most investors rely on lagging indicators (headlines) or gurus (feelings). Recessionist Pro relies on Math.
The Bond Market
Yield curve inversions and normalization. Credit spreads and liquidity stress signals.
The Labor Market
Rate-of-change in unemployment. Sahm Rule tracking. Jobless claims momentum.
The Credit Market
High-yield spreads. Bank lending conditions. Consumer credit stress indicators.
What AI Does (and Doesn't Do)
- • Summarize what changed today
- • Explain why it matters in plain English
- • Save you from reading 20 data sources
- • Generate the recession score
- • Predict future market movements
- • Make investment decisions for you
The math is deterministic. The data is auditable. The AI is just the narrator.
22,000+ Lines of Code. Zero Gut Feelings.
This isn't a spreadsheet with a few formulas. It's a production-grade system that processes more data than most hedge fund interns.
⚡ Real-Time Monitoring
- ✓Geopolitical Crisis DetectionScans 300+ headlines daily for military strikes, invasions, sanctions. Cross-references with VIX/Oil spikes.
- ✓Political Risk ScoringEconomic Policy Uncertainty Index, election cycle positioning, historical party patterns.
- ✓Data Integrity MonitoringDetects government data delays, revisions, and methodology changes that distort official numbers.
🧮 Multi-Layer Scoring
- ✓Base Indicator Score15 weighted indicators: yield curve, credit spreads, unemployment momentum, consumer sentiment, etc.
- ✓Regime Override LayerLate-cycle credit stress, Bitcoin risk, housing affordability, commercial real estate stress.
- ✓Divergence DetectionFlags when markets ignore labor stress, or when "soft" data contradicts "hard" data.
22,326 lines of JavaScript. 4,226 lines in the core model alone. Production-grade code, not a hobby project.
Know What to Buy in Every Zone
Your recession score defines the regime. Each regime has an optimal strategy.
Each zone includes specific stock ideas, ETF recommendations, sectors to favor, and what to avoid.
View Full Strategy in Dashboard →Recessionist Pro vs. The Macro Content Economy
Signal vs. noise. Data vs. opinion. Your time has value.
| Feature | Recessionist Pro | Macro Influencers |
|---|---|---|
| Time to Insight | < 5 minutes/day | 30-90 min/video |
| Core Output | Objective Risk Score | Opinions & narratives |
| Data Source | Fed & market data | Selective charts |
| Methodology | Rules-based, transparent | Subjective interpretation |
| Update Frequency | Daily, automatic | Irregular, reactive |
| Transparency | Verify first, pay later | Pay to view |
| Price | $29/mo | $1,500-3,000/yr |
If you enjoy macro content, this isn't for you.
If you want clarity without commentary, it is.
One Dashboard. Twenty Indicators. Five Minutes.
Stop synthesizing. Start deciding.
Live Dashboard
15 indicators updated daily. One recession risk score 0-100.
Exit Criteria
See exactly which indicators are elevated vs healthy. Know what would lower the score.
AI Score Analysis
In-depth analysis when the score moves. Explains exactly what changed and why it matters for recession risk.
Investment Strategy
5 regimes, each with allocation targets, sector plays, and specific stock/ETF ideas.
Real Estate Stress Monitor
CRE defaults, housing affordability, foreclosures. The 2025 canary in the coal mine.
Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle
Days since bottom, Bull Market Support Band. Time crypto exits with data.
Built by a Data Auditor, Not a "Guru"
A skeptic who builds tools instead of narratives.
Tom Spark
Creator of Recessionist Pro
For a decade, my job wasn't predicting the future—it was auditing software, tearing apart marketing claims, and exposing what actually works versus what's noise.
I realized the financial commentary space had the same problem: too many opinions, too little instrumentation. So instead of adding another "macro take," I built what I wanted as an investor.
I'm not asking you to trust me. I'm asking you to trust the measurement.
This Isn't Competing With Other Finance Products
It's competing with the chaos in your head.
The right question isn't "Do I agree with this?"
It's "Does this reduce my uncertainty?"
What Is Your "Blind Spot" Costing You?
The biggest losses don't come from the crash—they come from panic-selling at the bottom or missing the recovery. This dashboard is designed to prevent both.