About Recessionist Pro

Hey, I'm Tom. I built Recessionist Pro because I was sick of watching people get blindsided by economic downturns that were visible in the data months before they hit.

Every cycle, it's the same story. The talking heads on TV tell you everything's fine right up until it isn't. By the time "recession" makes the headlines, it's already too late to reposition. The institutions saw it coming. Retail investors didn't.

I started tracking recession indicators as a personal project — yield curve inversions, credit spreads, labor data revisions, sentiment drops. Stuff that actually moves before the market does. Over time, it turned into a scoring model. Then a dashboard. Then this.

The model tracks 29 economic indicators, weights them by historical reliability, and produces a single daily recession risk score from 0 to 100. No vibes. No opinions. Just data.

Most financial media has a bias — either perma-bulls selling hopium or doomers farming clicks. Recessionist Pro doesn't have a narrative. The model doesn't care about your feelings or mine. It reads the data and gives you a number.

When the score is low, I'll tell you the economy looks strong. When it's high, I'll tell you to be careful. That's it. No agenda.

I'm a software engineer and data nerd. Not a Wall Street insider, not a financial advisor, not someone trying to sell you a course. I built this tool for myself first, and now I'm sharing it because I think regular people deserve access to the same kind of economic signals the big players watch.

I run this solo — the model, the website, the content, all of it. That means no corporate incentives, no advertiser pressure, no reason to sugarcoat anything.